Week 10 NFL picks

Last week: 6-6-1
YTD: 65-62-3

Carolina (+7) at Tampa Bay: Is there anything to like about this Carolina team? Really, anything? Carolina is the only team the Bucs have beaten by more than 7 though this season. Something fishy here I can’t put my finger on, maybe Carolina gets a return TD for a backdoor cover or something. Pick: Carolina

Detroit (+3) at Buffalo: With Matthew Stafford out again, everyone thinks this is the week the Bills finally win. They said the same thing last week against the Bears. And Shaun Hill can move the ball. I'm not going to try and be a hero and predict Buffalo’s first win on this one. Pick: Detroit

Houston (+1) at Jacksonville: Jacksonville off the bye (screw you and your bye week theories, Bill Simmons!), Houston fading fast. This one just seems too easy as Houston is the more public team. Pick: Jacksonville

Tennessee (-2) at Miami: Miami can’t win at home, and they have Chad Pennington coming in, so that means they can’t throw or run the ball now. Desperate move by Tony Sparano. Chris Johnson is due for a big game. Pick: Tennessee

Minnesota (-1) at Chicago: Speak what you will of Kansas City and its easy schedule, but at least they don’t luck into victories the way the Bears do. The Vikings seem to be united in their quest to throw Brad Childress under a bus (literally, not figuratively. They hate the guy.), but they are using it as a rallying cry. More Brett Favre heroic story telling! Pick: Minnesota

NY Jets (-3) at Cleveland: I’ll make it easy for you Rex Ryan. If you can’t figure out how to take apart Colt McCoy with your vaunted defense, you’re not really a Super Bowl contender. Pick: NY Jets

Cincinnati (+7) at Indianapolis: When you take away his weapons, Peyton Manning will play things tight and not take too many chances and do just enough to win. In this case, that means not covering the spread. And how is Terrell Owens the top rated fantasy receiver? That’s why they call it fantasy football, kids. Pick: Cincinnati

Kansas City (-1) at Denver: I hate the way the Chiefs are playing right now, but the Broncos are too much of a mess for me to take them. Pick: Kansas City

Dallas (+14) at NY Giants – Jason Garrett had the Cowboys wearing pads at practice this week. How revolutionary! It's like he invoked the spirit of Vince Lombardi and George Halas. All is well in Cowboys land! And why do I know Buck and Aikman end up doing this game over the far superior Seattle-Arizona battle for first place in the NFC West? East Coast bias, I tell ya. Pick: Dallas.

St. Louis (+6) at San Francisco – The Young Rams aren’t good enough on the road yet, even against Crazy Janitor Mike Singletary, who have played better than their record. Plus, a 49er victory puts all the teams in the division closer. And who doesn’t want to see a team with 6 wins get into the playoffs? Pick: San Francisco

Seattle (+3) at Arizona – You know how little faith I have in Charlie Whitehurst (I’m taking away the Chaz until further notice, you don’t deserve it Charlie) when I’m picking Derek Anderson over you. Pick: Arizona

New England (+4.5) over Pittsburgh – The two best coaches in the league (with apologies to Sean Payton) go at it here. This one just feels like it has to be a field goal game. And you know Belichick won’t stand for two losses in a row. Pick: New England

Philadelphia (-3) at Washington – Donovan McNabb already got his revenge on Philly earlier this season. It doesn’t happen again. Washington will fall off eventually and then maybe people will believe me that Mike Shanahan isn't a good coach any more. Pick: Philadelphia