Week 8 NFL picks

Week 7: 5-9
YTD: 49-53-2

You’re still reading? I guess I am becoming the automatic fade at this point. Oh well, since you’re here for bad picks, let’s get on with them!

Buffalo (+7.5) at Kansas City – I pegged this line but it’s a good line. I still don’t trust Kansas City as a good team, even if they will win the division, and Ryan Fitzpatrick can move the ball. He’s good for a garbage touchdown for the cover. Pick: Buffalo

Jacksonville (+6.5) at Dallas – Bouman! Kitna! It’s the NFL on CBS! Nice to see the Cowboys trying to get the ’07 Lions back together with Kitna and Williams. David Garrard might actually be back for this one. He’s competent. Jon Kitna isn’t. The Cowboys’ season gets worse. Pick: Jacksonville

Carolina (+3) at St. Louis – I like this Sam Bradford kid. Rams are decent home, even if you can’t trust them on the road. No DeAngelo Williams in this one means Steve Smith might punch out John Fox by halftime. And that’s the only real reason to watch this one. Pick: Rams

Miami (+1) at Cincinnati – What was I thinking taking the Bengals last week? We can’t make the same mistake here. And Miami is on the road. Pick: Miami

Washington (+2.5) at Detroit – The Lions giving points to a 4-3 team? Something is smelly. But let’s see. Donovan McNabb is a bad QB. LaRon Landry is questionable. Matthew Stafford is back which also opens up things for Jahvid Best. And as I’ve complained for awhile, the Redskins are lucky. This could be just the type of game to prove it. Pick: Detroit.

Denver (+1) ‘at’ San Francisco – This one is London as the NFL continues its pursuit to alienate any possible fan base they might have overseas. Denver has just been curb stomped by Oakland, and while the Niners aren’t winning, they’ve been competitive. But even if Kyle Orton is a mirage even though he’s on pace for well over 4,000 yards, he’s still way better than David Carr. Pick: Denver

Green Bay (+6) at NY Jets – A battle of the last two teams jilted by Brett Favre. This game is almost like a support group for the teams as they attempt to move on in their lives. I like the Jets here, everything points to them (bye week, better team, Packers can’t run the ball). But the one thing the Packers will do is put up points here, and I think they’re good for the cover. Pick: Green Bay

Tennessee (+3.5) at San Diego – The Chargers give points again to a team clearly superior to them. Vince Young is back but will be rusty. I don’t think Kenny Britt has another 3 TD game in him. Here’s another thing: The Chargers are averaging 423 yards on offense and only giving up 244 on defense, almost a 200 yard difference. If the Redskins are this year’s lucky team, the Chargers have to be the unlucky team. One of these days skill wins out. Pick: San Diego

Tampa Bay (+3) at Arizona – First team to 15 wins! Seriously, these teams come in averaging an identical 16.3 points per game. Tampa has yet to lose on the road, and when in doubt, take the points. Pick: Tampa Bay

Minnesota (+5.5) at New England – They say Brett Favre won’t play. I’ll believe that when I see it. I don’t like that the Patriots give up almost 380 yards per game on defense. The Vikings have a tough schedule, but they haven’t lost by 9 or more this season, and even that game was on a last minute Favre pick-6. Pick: Minnesota

Seattle (+2.5) at Oakland – Oakland is due for the inevitable bounce-down game after a huge win. Seattle can’t win at home. Something has to give. The Chiefs need somebody to attempt to chase them down in the division. Pick: Oakland

Pittsburgh (+1) at New Orleans – Halloween night, weird things will happen. Pittsburgh is the better team, but New Orleans needs this game. Pick: New Orleans

Houston (+5.5) at Indianapolis – Houston always plays Indy tough, and will be looking for the season sweep. The Colts are too banged up (Dallas Clark out, Joseph Addai doubtful) and something has to eventually give. Yes, it’s Peyton Manning at home in a night game, but… Pick: Houston

Happy Halloween everyone!